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TagPolitical Science

Will the state of the U.S economy be a factor during the 2020 election?

Assistant professor of political science Michael Sances answers:

“Presidential elections are typically referendums on the state of the economy, but as we all know, presidents inherit economies from their predecessors. Will voters attribute recent positive economic performance to Trump, or will they attribute it to his predecessor Barack Obama? In research I am working on now, I find that voters almost always attribute the current economy to the current incumbent, whether that incumbent has been in office for six months or six years. So, I think the economy will ultimately work toward Trump’s re-election. The Democratic nominee will have to either convince voters the economy is not that strong, or focus on other issues. I am skeptical voters can be convinced that the economy is not Trump’s responsibility.”

Michael Sances
Michael Sances

Michael Sances is an assistant professor of political science at Temple University. His research has been featured in a number of academic journals along with in popular media outlets such as the NYT, VOX & The Economist.

Does the nominee from the Democratic Party even matter? (2020 Election)

Assistant professor of political science Michael Sances answers:

“Will the Democratic nominee really affect what happens in November? Statistical models that ignore any qualities of the candidates do a pretty good job at predicting general election winners. More anecdotally, a low-quality nominee in 2016 did not seem to hurt the Republican party’s chances. Despite the intense media attention around who will win the nomination, I do not think it is entirely unreasonable to argue that it will not ultimately matter much.”

Michael Sances
Michael Sances

Michael Sances is an assistant professor of political science at Temple University. His research has been featured in a number of academic journals along with in popular media outlets such as the NYT, VOX & The Economist.

18. Brendan O’Leary: Why Is Northern Ireland Such a Contentious Point for Brexit? / The Future of Global Governance

My guest today is political science professor Brendan O’Leary. He has been an advisor to the United Nations and European Union and has held many other distinguished positions. 

We discuss many topics ranging from why and how Northern Ireland became such a contentious point for Brexit, why Brexit has taken so long, the efficacy of referendums, his knowledge on conflicts and power sharing, the future of global politics, and much more.

Link to his faculty page:

17. Daniel Cohen: Why a Green New Deal is the Only Way / The Gravity of the Climate Crisis

Daniel Cohen is a political science professor and director the Socio-Spatial Climate Collaborative (SC2).

The conversation covers topics such as the negative impact of the fossil fuel industry on climate progress, the inequality that is tethered to climate change, how dire the climate situation is, what the Green New Deal is, how society can stave off the negative impacts of climate change, and envisioning a new, healthier way of life all together.

Link to his website:

16. Kevin Arceneaux: How Psychology Plays Into Your Political Choices / Do Better Ways to Vote Exist?

Kevin Arceneaux is a professor of political science with interests in how and why people make the political decisions that they do. He also directs the Behavioral Foundations Lab and his research pulls from many disciplines such as psychology and biology.

We have a fascinating conversation on the psychology of voting and how biases could change our decisions. We also touch on topics such as the efficacy of impeachment, the electoral system, and different methods of voting.

Link to his faculty page:

12. Alan McPherson Pt. 2: Who are the Ghosts of Sheridan Circle?

Alan McPherson is a a professor within the department of history at Temple University and is the director of CENFAD, the Center for the Study of Force and Diplomacy at Temple University. His interests and expertise lie within the field of US foreign relations with a focus specifically on the history of US-Latin American relations.

This segment of the conversation takes a dive into his book Ghosts of Sheridan Circle which focuses on the killings of Chilean diplomat Orlando Letelier and his colleague Ronni Moffitt. The conversation also touches on CENFAD.

11. Alan McPherson Pt. 1: A Brief History of US-Latin American Relations

Alan McPherson is a a professor within the department of history at Temple University and is the director of CENFAD, the Center for the Study of Force and Diplomacy at Temple University. His interests and expertise lie within the field of US foreign relations with a focus specifically on the history of US-Latin American relations.

This part of the conversation focuses on the history of US- Latin American relations, why there is a sentiment of mistrust towards US intervention in Latin America, the current state of Latin American nations, international sentiments towards the United States, and the current state of US foreign policy.

Link to his faculty page:

4. Joel Oestreich: The Mechanics Behind The United Nations, What UNICEF Does, & Focusing on Women’s and Children’s Rights

Joel Oestreich, Professor of Political Science at Drexel University, on the mechanics behind the UN, the importance of international women’s and children’s rights, the intersection between economics sand human rights, and the state of current US foreign policy.

Link to his faculty page: https://drexel.edu/coas/faculty-research/faculty-directory/JoelEOestreich/

3. Michael Horowitz: Foreign Relations, Why Leaders Fight, Military Power, & Artificial Intelligence

Michael Horowitz, professor of political science at the University of Pennsylvania & interim head of the Perry World House on why leaders fight, the diffusion of military power, artificial intelligence, the current state of US foreign policy, & the Patriots. 

Link to his faculty page: https://live-sas-www-polisci.pantheon.sas.upenn.edu/people/standing-faculty/michael-c-horowitz

1. Michael Sances: Differences in the State & Federal Government, Voter Stratification by Education, & What a Political Scientist Does.

Political Science Professor Michael Sances on the relationship between the state and federal government, voter stratification by education, the affordable care act, and what a political scientist actually does.

Link to his faculty page: https://sites.temple.edu/msances/

Link to The Economist article which references his research on voter stratification: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/11/11/poorly-educated-voters-hold-the-keys-to-the-white-house