Skip to content

TagElection2020

Will the state of the U.S economy be a factor during the 2020 election?

Assistant professor of political science Michael Sances answers:

“Presidential elections are typically referendums on the state of the economy, but as we all know, presidents inherit economies from their predecessors. Will voters attribute recent positive economic performance to Trump, or will they attribute it to his predecessor Barack Obama? In research I am working on now, I find that voters almost always attribute the current economy to the current incumbent, whether that incumbent has been in office for six months or six years. So, I think the economy will ultimately work toward Trump’s re-election. The Democratic nominee will have to either convince voters the economy is not that strong, or focus on other issues. I am skeptical voters can be convinced that the economy is not Trump’s responsibility.”

Michael Sances
Michael Sances

Michael Sances is an assistant professor of political science at Temple University. His research has been featured in a number of academic journals along with in popular media outlets such as the NYT, VOX & The Economist.

Does the nominee from the Democratic Party even matter? (2020 Election)

Assistant professor of political science Michael Sances answers:

“Will the Democratic nominee really affect what happens in November? Statistical models that ignore any qualities of the candidates do a pretty good job at predicting general election winners. More anecdotally, a low-quality nominee in 2016 did not seem to hurt the Republican party’s chances. Despite the intense media attention around who will win the nomination, I do not think it is entirely unreasonable to argue that it will not ultimately matter much.”

Michael Sances
Michael Sances

Michael Sances is an assistant professor of political science at Temple University. His research has been featured in a number of academic journals along with in popular media outlets such as the NYT, VOX & The Economist.

17. Daniel Cohen: Why a Green New Deal is the Only Way / The Gravity of the Climate Crisis

Daniel Cohen is a political science professor and director the Socio-Spatial Climate Collaborative (SC2).

The conversation covers topics such as the negative impact of the fossil fuel industry on climate progress, the inequality that is tethered to climate change, how dire the climate situation is, what the Green New Deal is, how society can stave off the negative impacts of climate change, and envisioning a new, healthier way of life all together.

Link to his website:

15. Richard Prisinzano: An Analysis of the Warren Campaign’s Proposed Wealth Tax.

Richard Prisinzano, director of policy analysis at the Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM), talks to us today about the democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren’s proposed wealth tax.

We get his take on the PWBM’s analysis of the Warren wealth tax, an analysis be helped direct, along with his comments on the rebuttals to the  analysis. 

We do also touch on other related topics such as tax avoidance, the impact of taxes on GDP and many more things tax related. I have attached a link to the PWBM analysis below.

Link to the analysis:

Link to his Twitter:

Link to the Warren Campaign wealth tax proposal:

1. Michael Sances: Differences in the State & Federal Government, Voter Stratification by Education, & What a Political Scientist Does.

Political Science Professor Michael Sances on the relationship between the state and federal government, voter stratification by education, the affordable care act, and what a political scientist actually does.

Link to his faculty page: https://sites.temple.edu/msances/

Link to The Economist article which references his research on voter stratification: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/11/11/poorly-educated-voters-hold-the-keys-to-the-white-house