Skip to content

Does the nominee from the Democratic Party even matter? (2020 Election)

Assistant professor of political science Michael Sances answers:

“Will the Democratic nominee really affect what happens in November? Statistical models that ignore any qualities of the candidates do a pretty good job at predicting general election winners. More anecdotally, a low-quality nominee in 2016 did not seem to hurt the Republican party’s chances. Despite the intense media attention around who will win the nomination, I do not think it is entirely unreasonable to argue that it will not ultimately matter much.”

Michael Sances
Michael Sances

Michael Sances is an assistant professor of political science at Temple University. His research has been featured in a number of academic journals along with in popular media outlets such as the NYT, VOX & The Economist.

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

%d bloggers like this: